Startup Equity Expected Value Calculator
Enter probability weights that sum to 100% and your assumed net value per share in each scenario (after dilution, preferences, and exercise costs—your own estimates).
Not a 409A valuation
Sensitivity test pessimistic cases
Scenarios
Four exit states; adjust labels to your narrative.
IPOM&AStay privateShut down
Expected value
Probabilities must sum to exactly 100%.
Pair with our quantitative framework guide and the job offer comparison tool.
Related guides
Go deeper on the rules and planning ideas behind this calculator.